Dominoes: MWC Edition
The members of the MWC have been mentioned in a few of the series so far. The Utah Utes and BYU Cougars were mentioned in the PAC 10 expansion dicussion and BYU and the TCU Horned Frogs were mentioned in the Big 12's response to losing the Texas Longhorns, Missouri Tigers or Colorado Buffalos.
The plain fact is that if the MWC loses two or even three of these teams they are tarneshed to a point where they are no longer the obvious choice for WAC and C-USA teams looking for an upgrade. I expect the MWC to expand this summer to possition themselves so that even if a team or two leaves they would still be left in a strong possition to draw WAC and C-USA west members.
The next college football realignment will be the MWC inviting the Boise St. Broncos. Or the MWC will be dealt a death blow when the PAC 10 and BIG 10 finally make their moves. It is pretty much that simple.
This is the year to move because an announcement for this year wound take place for the 2011 season and move the teams in question to the MWC for the next round of BCS evaluations. Boise State would likely push the MWC over the hump.
The question is whether this is the only team they add this year.
As far as the BCS metrics go, Boise State is the only sure fire win for the MWC. The Hawaii Warriors looks good in the BCS number now but their 2007 season will roll off the window before the next evaluation period. The Houston Cougars, Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Fresno St. Bulldogs and Nevada Wolf Pack would add strength to the middle of the MWC while also diminishing the value of the WAC and C-USA when further changes are forced upon them. These schools are all on par with what the Air Force Falcons bring to the confernece.
10-12 team confereces are the status quo, with the trend towards 12 teams. The main problem with the MWC is that Boise State, Utah and BYU would likely be in the same division, due to the very close proximity. This division would be much more top hevier than the other side, with TCU expected to be a clear leader. Houston and Tulsa would be the best additions if a 12 team confernece with a championship game is the way the MWC decides to go.
I would like an East-West split with the rockies forming a natural divide between the two divisions.
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