Non-Automatic Qualifying Conference Races
So on Sunday I broke down the automatic qualifying conference races as part of my BCS analysis. For completeness I will now present the conference races for all remaining conferences.
None are anywhere near as tricky to discern as the PAC 10 was this week.
C-USA:
East:
The ECU and the UAB both control their own fate. S. Miss and UCF are still potential candidates for the championship game.
ECU wins if:
- They beat S. Miss and UAB
- They beat S. Miss and UCF beats UAB
- They beat UAB and Tulsa beats S. Miss
UAB wins if:
- They beat ECU and
- UAB beats UCF
- S. Miss beats ECU and Tulsa beats S. Miss and Tulane beats UCF
S. Miss wins if:
- They beat ECU and Tulsa and UAB beats ECU or UCF
UCF wins if:
All of the following occur:
- They beat UAB and Tulane
- ECU loses to S. Miss and UAB
- Tulsa beats S. Miss
West:
SMU wins if:
- They beat Marshall and Tulane
- Houston loses to Memphis and Rice
- SMU splits with Marshall and Tulane and Houston splits with Memphis and Rice
Houston wins if:
- They beat Memphis and Rice and SMU loses to Marshall or Tulane
- They beat Memphis or Rice and SMU loses to Marshall and Tulane
MAC:
North:
C. Michigan and N. Illinois both control their own fate.
C. Michigan wins if:
- Beat N. Illinois
- Beat Ball State and Ohio beats N. Illinois
N. Illinois wins if:
- Beat C. Michigan and
- Beat Ohio
- Ball State beats C. Michigan
South:
Temple and Ohio control their own fate.
Temple wins if:
- They beat Ohio
- Beat Kent State and N. Illinois beats Ohio
Ohio wins if:
- Beat Temple and
- Beat N. Illinois
- Kent State beats Temple and loses to Buffalo
Kent State wins if:
- Beat Temple and Buffalo and Ohio beats Temple but loses to N. Illinois
MWC:
TCU wins outright if:
- beat Wyoming and New Mexico
- beat Wyoming or New Mexico or the Utah-BYU winner loses to SDSU or Air Force respectively.
TCU wins a share if:
- beat Wyoming or New Mexico
- the Utah-BYU winner loses to SDSU or Air Force respectively
BYU wins outright if:
- Beat Air Force and Utah and TCU loses to Wyoming and New Mexico
BYU wins a share if:
- Beat Air Force or Utah and TCU loses to Wyoming and New Mexico
Utah wins outright if:
- Beat SDSU and BYU and TCU loses to Wyoming and New Mexico
Utah wins a share if:
- Beats SDSU and BYU and TCU loses to Wyoming or New Mexico
Air Force wins a share if:
- Beats BYU and TCU loses to Wyoming and New Mexico and Utah loses to BYU or SDSU
Sun Belt
Troy wins if:
- Beat Florida Atlantic or LA Lafayette
- The LA Monroe Middle Tennessee St. winner loses to LA Lafayette or Arkansas St. respectively.
LA Monroe wins if:
- Beat Arkansa St. and LA Monroe and Troy loses to Florida Atlantic and LA Lafayette
Middle Tennessee St. wins if:
- Beat LA Lafayette and Middle Tennessee St. and Troy loses to Florda Atlantic and LA Lafayette
WAC
Boise St. has won the WAC outright.
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5 comments
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Comments
Air Force can still win a share of the MWC? Wow.
Well. Theoretically, anyway.
by HawkeyedFrog on Nov 18, 2009 9:56 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Completeness...
They have a better chance than USC has to get to the Rose Bowl. (Some estimates have this at a 0.001% chance).
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Nov 18, 2009 11:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Either Utah and BYU would also get a share if TCU loses one game and they win out.
So you can add to you scenarios:
Utah gets a share if TCU loses to UNM or Wyoming and Utah beats SDSU and BYU.
BYU gets a share if TCU loses to UNM or Wyoming and BYU beats AF and Utah.
I don’t believe head to head is considered in the MWC as a tie-breaker, so that would still be a shared title if both teams are 7-1 in conference, even though TCU crushed BYU and Utah head-to-head.
Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.
by displacedute on Nov 20, 2009 2:33 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Those I had.
The ones I did miss were the ones where they are tied at 6-2.
If the Air Force tie occured it would be at least a three way tie with the BYU-UTAH winner, with the BYU-Utah loser making it four way if they win this week.
BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter
by utesfan100 on Nov 20, 2009 3:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It's incredible that UAB even has a prayer of winning the division.
I’m not sure they’ve ever been in this position this late in the season before.
by Nico2.0 on Nov 20, 2009 2:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs










