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THE BCS IS A SYSTEM OF HALF ASSED HALF MEASURES THAT HALF SOLVES THE PROBLEM AND THEREFORE SOLVES NOTHING



How many teams play in BCS Bowls against teams completely out of the top 10?  Too many.  What are they really playing for?  The BCS Bowls are supposed to be meaningful.  Unfortunately, the solution solves only the title game.  Even that is only half solved.  More on that later.  Since there was no playoff to arrive at the 2 best teams, therefore, the rest of the games are essentially meaningless because the other teams have no shot to advance.  That's like ranking 64 college basketball teams and telling 62 of them to go home.  Only Memphis and North Carolina will play in the Final TWO the rest of you can play a few games amongst yourselves and amuse yourselves.  This is much less than a half measure.  Technically, its a one-fifth measure.

Star-divide

f you have Eight top teams shouldnt you be able to fit them into 10 BCS slots?  Apparently not.  Since there are a total of FIVE BCS Bowls including the Title Game this creates TWO spots for non top eight teams.  Presumably, #'s 9 & 10.  But no. This creates more openings still in the actual BCS Bowls.  This results in #7 USC playing a meaningless Rose Bowl vs #13 Illinois or a #3 Texas playing a #10 Ohio State.  Isn't the whole idea of the BCS that the era of meaningless bowls that only serve as a reward for a good season and basically are meaningfull only to the local chambers of commerce is over?

This measure of separating the BCS bowls from the other bowls is also only a half step.  Yes, they're apart from the Cotton Bowls and the Joe'sGarage.com Bowls of the world, but not so much that you can really tell the difference.  Not when you end up with the aforementioned #3 vs. #10 matchups.  The FULL measure here would be to have the four BCS bowls (minus the title game) set up the subsequent semifinal and final rounds.  If you REALLY want to differentiate between the bowls let the other bowls serve as rewards for a good season to the other teams; as consolation for not making the "elite eight", if you will.  Had a good season but only managed a #9 ranking?  Congratulations, you're in the Cotton Bowl or some other prestigious bowl.  Let the other New Years Eve/Day bowls jockey for the "sexy" matchups.  Let them take into consideration which team's fan base travels well, conference affiliations, etc.  Let the BCS Bowls be TRULY different and serve as a real playoff.  Don't let the line between them and the other bowls blur.  Sever the traditional conference tie ins and other (old bowl) nonsense. This eliminates the problems of a third top eight or ten team from a given conference being the odd team out.

To be fair these extra slots and the need to fill them with non BCS teams or lower ranked teams are not due to some nefarious conspiracy.  They are due to the BCS's own messed up rules.  No more limits to the number of teams from one conference.  If youre ranked #8 and are the THIRD team from your conference why should you be left out?  If you're Wisconsin (2006), why should you go begging after a great season?  You've played by the rules of engagement all year and your reward is a #7 ranking why should you have to play in the Capital One Bowl?  If you''re #6 Missouri (2007) or #8 Texas Tech (2008) why should you be shut out? These top 8 teams end up in the Cotton Bowl.  This is a good bowl to be sure but again they're playing for nothing.

Usually the BCS likes to use these extra slots as charity contributions to the Hawai'i's and Boise States of the college football world.  The problem with this is that more and more these so-called BCS Busters are not being so kind as to roll over against their more powerful BCS opponents like Hawaii did in the Sugar Bowl when they played Georgia.  They're actually proving themselves worthy opponents and beating the Oklahoma's and Alabama's of the BCS.  While BCS officials claim they have been rewarding this success with unprecedented reward and recognition, their system is specifically designed to keep such success at a minimum.  They claim credit for giving them a shot (boise st, utah) when the fact is they EARNED their shots.

The idea of some undeserving team unfairly advancing or some lower seed being able to beat the team that the following week that beat the team the lower seed lost to this week is crazy.  That is what a playofff is.  Thats the point.  You CANNOT continue to say, "this lower ranked team beat this other higher ranked team BUT the losing team is still better."  That is the BCS biz as usual talking.  Ive heard people make this argument before.  But.  You could argue that the last #1 teams, USC (2005), Ohio St (2006-07), and Oklahoma (2008) were the better teams going into the title game.  Just because they lost doesn't mean theyre not #1?  I have news for you.  Yes it does.  In the BCS this playoff mode of thinking ONLY APPLIES for the Title Game.  And THAT is not fair.  In essence, the playoff mentality only applies to the actual winner of the title game.  This is true half measure fashion. If you lose the title game #2 spot is YOURS.  You earned it.  Why should you fall 2-4 spots because some other team has better Strength of Schedule, better record.  They didnt make it to the NCG, YOU did.  This is saying, in essence.  The National Title Game is a playoff, but only for the actual winner.  You?  The loser?  You get to fall 2-4 slots.  To have a NCG loser fall so many slots immediately calls into questions the game itself.

The Selection Committee's job could be made so much simpler if they simply were tasked with allocating the matchups to the Four BCS Bowls.  You then trade the one Title Game Bowl for THREE additional matchups in the semifinal and final rounds and the season lasts only one week more than it does now.  I dont see a down side here.  For example:  You let the committee say, "let's put  Oklahoma/Penn St in the Sugar Bowl, Texas/Utah in the Fiesta, USC/Alabama in the Rose, and Texas Tech/Florida in the Orange."  Done.  Or you can have the individual bowl have preassigned matchups, Rose gets 1 vs 8, etc...

Consider the possibilities of the the last FOUR years' brackets.

2005



Possible Bowl Assignment
#1 USC
vs #8 Miami
Fiesta Bowl
#2 Texas
vs #7 Georgia
Sugar Bowl
#3 Penn State
vs #6 Notre Dame
Orange Bowl
#4 Ohio State
vs #5 Oregon
Rose Bowl


2006



Possible Bowl Assignment
#1 Ohio State vs #8 Boise State Fiesta Bowl
#2 Florida vs #7 Wisconsin Orange Bowl
#3 Michigan vs #6 Louisville Rose Bowl
#4 LSU vs #5 USC Sugar Bowl


2007



Possible Bowl Assignment
#1 Ohio State vs # 8 Kansas Rose Bowl
#2 LSU vs # 7 USC Sugar Bowl
#3 Virginia Tech vs # 6 Missouri Orange Bowl
#4 Oklahoma vs # 5 Georgia Fiesta Bowl



2008



Possible Bowl Assignment
#1 Oklahoma vs # 8 Penn State Sugar Bowl
#2 Florida vs # 7 Texas Tech
Fiesta Bowl
#3 Texas
vs # 6 Utah
Rose Bowl
#4 USC
vs # 5 Alabama
Orange Bowl



I don't mean to sound like some sort of Agent Mulder-esque conspiracy theorist.  This is why I believe the powers that be (BCS, ESPN, etc...) don't want a playoff and in reality don't have a real debate.  They simply trot out some guy to say, "we should have a playoff"  people talk about it and say, "hmmm, thats an interesting idea" and leave it at that.  Or they trot out some new solution so out there it could never be really taken seriously.  ESPN this week is running a realignment scenario so byzantine no one would ever take it seriously.  It involves almost a complete realignment of teams and conferences. 

If someone was to actually lay out the POSSIBILITIES for people to see, they'd actually say, "I'd like to see THAT!"

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Nice post!

I like that you present solid arguments to support your claims and defend your possitions. Concrete examples, qualified properly, is a nice touch. I love the passion on this topic and tone.

You appear to be a strong supporter of the MWC Proposal, which used the BCS bowls as the first round of a three round tournament and used a selection commitee to seed the first round. I will be addressing issues this and other common designs need to improve to gain traction this off season.

One ofthe strongest arguments AGAINST the BCS is that it has undermined the bowl tradition. This is why the BCS folks respond with playoff litigation with the line that the alternative is to return to the old bowl system. The bowl tradition is a valuable part of the college football experience and needs to be supported by any design. You touch heavily on the point that the bowls need to be made more meaningful.

A strong teir system would help. I did not touch on the details of this aspect of my proposal yet, and likely wont until this offseason. (The entirety of my proposal is roughly 50 pages in its current form, but expansions to about 100 pages are planned.)

I use three teirs, the BCS Bowls and tournaments reward teams who achieve at the national level and deserve mention in the national championship conversation. The second teir would be for regional successes and the conference champions of all conferences would be guaranteed a spot in one of these bowls. The final tier is to reward teams meeting the minimum NCAA standards for bowl eligibility.

These teirs are made strong keeping roughly 1/4 of the spots open for at-large selections that trump any conference tie-ins of lower teir bowls. This alone would significantly improve the quality of many of the bowls as they would be able to better adjust to the results of each year to produce better matches.

As for those extra charity slots, Usually the Utah’s Boise State’s and Hawaii’s get into the top 8 before getting into a BCS bowl. The low ranked teams are from BCS automatic qualifying conferences having a down year. Thsi is who these spots are really saved for.

I have never heard the anti-playoff argument you defend regarding upsets in the playoffs seriously presented. Maybe a jab reference to Arizona in the NFL last year, but nothing really serious.

You do touch on an exposed flank in the BCS armour: The BCS claims to succeed at pairing the top two teams in the nation every year. 2003 is the only year they will conceed, while claiming to have fixed that. How often are the teams that played in the BCS NCG #1 and #2 after the game is played? I may be mistaken, but I believe the number is 2 out of 11 years.

You lost me on how this all leads to a jsutification on why the BCS conversation is gridlocked. The TV outlerts would have a field day with a playoffs, Swofford has admitted this would create more post season revenue. The Rose Bowl coalition is the primary obsicale, and the NCAA has their back.

Thanks for the post! I look forward to your insight to my ideas and responses to these issues!

BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter

by utesfan100 on Oct 19, 2009 3:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

YOU’RE the one who’s obviously put a lot of thought into this….100 pages? Wow! But I just think my solution is simple, elegant, and workable. I simply involves changing the half-assed thinking that doesnt take an argument used in favor of the BCS to its natural conclusion.

I have never heard the anti-playoff argument you defend regarding upsets in the playoffs seriously presented. Maybe a jab reference to Arizona in the NFL last year, but nothing really serious.

Just something I read once on a blog…and I thought, “WTF?”

You lost me on how this all leads to a jsutification on why the BCS conversation is gridlocked. The TV outlerts would have a field day with a playoffs, Swofford has admitted this would create more post season revenue. The Rose Bowl coalition is the primary obsicale, and the NCAA has their back.

Basically, the talking heads wont have as much to talk about when they KNOW it will be settled on the field in the end. No more SOS discussions, who is "playing best:, who “deserves” to play in the title game, etc. Those discussions create interest in TV, radio, and blogs.

The Lyle Leong Bandwagon will Continue to Roll!!!
Wreck 'em, Tech!

by Tortilla Pirate on Oct 19, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My system is sufficiently complicated to keep them busy.

People will always want to know bowl projections and any format less than 8 teams will keep the rankings significant.

With all the twists in my design the compulsive scenario enumerators will have an endless supply of possibilities to draw from.

I >>HATE<< ESPN because of the talking heads. Cover sports, not sport coverage. Oh, and MTV, play some music videos.

BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter

by utesfan100 on Oct 19, 2009 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Ironic Thing Is...

…the SEC who complain so vociferously about the BCS rankings are the ones who’ve benefited the most from it, as a playoff would make it easier for a Cincinnati, Utah, or Boise State to sneak in, catch a Florida on a off game (which it has an increasing number of in its conference games) and upset those upper-tiered conference teams (the thing you fear the most). And this is exactly why I like the idea of the busters and why we need a playoff. We need a college football version of NC State v. Houston or Villanova v. Georgetown.

by tonywf on Oct 20, 2009 10:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

BS-C There won't be a playoff anytime soon...

Bull Sh** Computers… Its all about the money, the same people who have been setting up the bowl games back in the 1950’s are doing it today. They created televised college football and are the ones who control it. The teams with the biggest fan base are always going to get the most attention. Teams like Ohio State, USC, Notre Dame, etc. play a bunch of weak teams and they are put in the top ten at any oppurtunity. Like Miami for example; they went 2-0 against below average teams and were rolled out a frikin red carpet into the top ten. Everyone jumped on the band wagon and they even had the nerve to say Jacory Harris was a heisman hopeful only to get crushed the following weekend by VA Tech 31 to 7 and only putting up 150 yds passing.
       Boise State technically deserves at least a shot at a title going undefeated for so long. But there is no way in hell you would see them in a Natl Championship game against someone like Cincy who they predict might go undefeated as well. That sounds more like a thursday night game. This past weekend I bet the USC /Notre Dame game got more ratings than the Red River Rivalry despite the higher stakes. The bigger programs will always be in the spotlight because of the high amount of viewers which means bigger dollars for broadcasting companies, advertisments and everything else that comes along. I bet you would see two one-loss big name teams in a championship bowl game before you see Boise State and Cinncinati.
       The point I am trying to make is College Football is a business before it is a sport for the fans, thats why players and teams get into big trouble when their caught flirting with agents but turn a blind eye when players are failing classes. The NFL is a better balanced business when no matter what two teams play in the Super Bowl, everyone watches. The computers were programmed by people and the data entered was chosen by the ones who make the big money from Bowl Games. Having a playoff is like taking money out of these guys hands, and of course they arent just going to hand over millions of dollars because fans think its unfair. These buttheads are the reason why we love college ball so much. They invested their money into televising the games and gave us a chance to watch our favorite teams play other fans favorite teams all these years which created the traditions and rivalries we love so much… In their eyes they don’t owe us a f**king thing. There wont be a playoff any time soon.

by Bzabakes on Oct 23, 2009 2:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I hear your frustrations.

You make several interesting points. The main issue I have is the self defeating tone.

You are correct that sprots tournaments are a business first. I would argue the NCAA is worse than the BCS in this regard, and far more intrenched. This is also why I created and submitted a business plan to implement my designs.

Playoffs add games between top teams, which add revenue. This added revenue would increase all popckets.

BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter

by utesfan100 on Oct 23, 2009 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The computers aren't the problem

The voters who have USC #4 ahead of four teams that not only don’t have losses to a 3-5 team, but don’t have losses to anyone, are the problem.

by SpartanDan on Oct 28, 2009 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One flaw with your use of a playoff

is that the Rose Bowl is sort of independent from the other BCS bowls, in that it has contractual obligations to the Pac-10 and Big-10. So any playoff system using the four existing bowls would have to have the champions of those conferences playing each other in the Rose Bowl, regardless of ranking. And if that were to happen, it would be a sort of disservice to whichever team is ranked higher, not to mention the fact that USC would get a home game against an inferior opponent in the first round of the playoff every single year (spoken as a lifelong USC fan).

by LakerFan24 on Oct 25, 2009 6:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

well

Then thats kinda my point…too many things are taken as a given (like your point about the Rose Bowl’s contractual obligations) and not changed cuz thats the way they are. ALL FOUR bowl game sites should be equal and operate under the same guidelines.

As for teams like USC getting “home” games, that would be part of the “bowl selection committee’s” responsibility. They assign matchups (1 vs 8, etc…) FAIRLY so NO ONE team gets an unfair bowl assignment matchup advantage. They can either make sure NO ONE perenial power gets that home game or EVERY TEAM gets a home matchup. Bowl sites ALL have those types of powerhouses nearby….The Orange has FLA, the Sugar has LSU, and the Rose has USC. I think my examples did a pretty good job of evening that sort of advantage out.

The Lyle Leong Bandwagon will Continue to Roll!!!
Wreck 'em, Tech!

by Tortilla Pirate on Oct 26, 2009 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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